Nintendo Cautiously Forecasts Switch 2 Sales Amid Tariff Uncertainty

Nintendo has released what industry analysts are describing as a “conservative” sales forecast for the upcoming Switch 2, reflecting continued uncertainty surrounding international tariffs and their potential impact on production and pricing. In its latest financial report, published earlier today, Nintendo projected it will sell 15 million units of the Switch 2 and 45 million games within the current fiscal year, which concludes on March 31, 2026. The Switch 2 is scheduled to launch globally on June 5.

The company noted in its report that this forecast assumes the current U.S. tariff rates—implemented on April 10—will remain unchanged throughout the fiscal year. However, Nintendo acknowledged that any adjustments to these tariffs could affect its projections. “We will continue to monitor the situation closely in order to respond effectively to changes in market conditions,” the company stated.

Daniel Ahmad, Director of Research & Insights at Niko Partners, described the 15 million unit target as “conservative.” He suggested in a recent tweet that Nintendo is likely factoring in multiple variables—including tariff unpredictability, potential pricing shifts, and production delays—despite strong early consumer interest. Ahmad later added that Nintendo might revise its forecast upward should the tariff situation improve. However, he emphasized that existing supply chain disruptions and the looming possibility of increased tariffs continue to pose significant challenges to a smooth console launch.

It’s worth noting that achieving 15 million sales in its first year would position the Switch 2 among the most successful console launches in history. This figure would surpass the original Switch’s first-year sales of 14.87 million units—a benchmark that helped solidify its place as one of Nintendo’s most iconic platforms.

Were you able to preorder a Nintendo Switch 2?

Yes!No!I am waiting until it actually releases

See Results: Demand for the Switch 2 appears to be exceptionally high. Following a brief delay attributed to tariff-related logistical concerns, pre-orders for the Nintendo Switch 2 officially opened on April 24, with the console priced at $449.99. As expected, demand surged immediately. Additionally, Nintendo issued a notice to U.S. customers who pre-ordered through the My Nintendo Store, stating that delivery by the release date cannot be guaranteed due to overwhelming demand.

For more details, check out IGN's Nintendo Switch 2 pre-order guide.